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Jakub Solnicky v Harry Falconer (Thu 30 May 2019)

Match won by Jakub Solnicky. Result: 7-11,11-9,11-8,11-4.

Starting level for Jakub Solnicky: 19,182, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for Harry Falconer: 20,752, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Harry Falconer to win as he is currently playing 8% better than Jakub Solnicky.

Jakub Solnicky won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 25% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jakub Solnicky played 25% better than Harry Falconer in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Jakub Solnicky actually played at a level of 22,307 and Harry Falconer at a level of 17,845. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 16% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jakub Solnicky changes to +16% and Harry Falconer changes to -12%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jakub Solnicky becomes +3.9% and for Harry Falconer becomes -3.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Tel Aviv Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jakub Solnicky: 81%, Harry Falconer: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jakub Solnicky: 70%, Harry Falconer: 77%.

A final adjustment of +0.6% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jakub Solnicky: 19,930, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Harry Falconer: 20,337, level confidence: 77%.