SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Andy Whipp v Ross Bryant (Sat 22 Jun 2019)

Match won by Andy Whipp. Result: 11-6,11-4,11-5.

Starting level for Andy Whipp: 17,592, level confidence: 37%.
Starting level for Ross Bryant: 8,217, level confidence: 47%.
Andy Whipp to win as he is currently playing 114% better than Ross Bryant.

Andy Whipp won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 120% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Andy Whipp played 120% better than Ross Bryant in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Andy Whipp actually played at a level of 17,833 and Ross Bryant at a level of 8,106. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.4% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0.9% and 0.9% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Andy Whipp changes to +0.9% and Ross Bryant changes to -0.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Andy Whipp becomes +0.4% and for Ross Bryant becomes -0.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Finals Masters 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andy Whipp: 61%, Ross Bryant: 68%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andy Whipp: 60%, Ross Bryant: 67%.

Final level for Andy Whipp: 17,665, level confidence: 60%.
Final level for Ross Bryant: 8,186, level confidence: 67%.