SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Neil Cordell v Neal Brooker (Tue 09 Jul 2019)

Match won by Neil Cordell. Result: 11-6,11-5,5-11,11-7.

Starting level for Neil Cordell: 17,342, level confidence: 31%.
Starting level for Neal Brooker: 9,865, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Neil Cordell to win as he is currently playing 76% better than Neal Brooker.

Neil Cordell won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 31% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Neil Cordell played 27% better than Neal Brooker in this match.

As Neil Cordell has played below his allowed range at 13,276, his level reduction is 6% before damping. On the assumption that Neil Cordell would normally have been playing at level 15,865 (based on typical behaviour), Neal Brooker played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 13%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 4.5% and 9.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Neil Cordell changes to -4.5% and Neal Brooker changes to +4.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Neil Cordell becomes -1.7% and for Neal Brooker becomes +1.8%.

Given Neil Cordell's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 77% has been applied to his level change.

Given Neal Brooker's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 34% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Surrey Summer League 2019' so the adjustment for Neil Cordell is -0.6% and for Neal Brooker is +0.9%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Neil Cordell: 56%, Neal Brooker: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Neil Cordell: 47%, Neal Brooker: 71%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Neil Cordell: 17,212, level confidence: 47%.
Final level for Neal Brooker: 9,935, level confidence: 71%.