SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Ashley Stanton v Anthony Rogal (Tue 06 Aug 2019)

Match won by Anthony Rogal. Result: 8-11,3-11,8-11.

Starting level for Ashley Stanton: 5,833, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Anthony Rogal: 16,381, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Anthony Rogal to win as he is currently playing 181% better than Ashley Stanton.

Anthony Rogal won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 74% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Anthony Rogal played 74% better than Ashley Stanton in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Anthony Rogal was taking it easy by anything up to 22%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 9,065 and 16,381 without affecting his level.

In this case, Anthony Rogal played at level 11,358 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Anthony Rogal would normally have been playing at level 12,735 (based on typical behaviour), Ashley Stanton played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 12%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 7.1% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Anthony Rogal changes to 0% and Ashley Stanton changes to +7.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Anthony Rogal becomes 0% and for Ashley Stanton becomes +2.8%.

Given Ashley Stanton's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 6.5% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 65% for 'Middlesex Mens Summer League 2019' so the adjustment for Anthony Rogal is 0% and for Ashley Stanton is +1.7%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Anthony Rogal: 89%, Ashley Stanton: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Anthony Rogal: 70%, Ashley Stanton: 69%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ashley Stanton: 5,948, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Anthony Rogal: 16,422, level confidence: 70%.