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Matej Hrnči??Ík v Lewis Anderson (Thu 19 Sep 2019)

Match won by Lewis Anderson. Result: 6-11,11-13,8-11.

Starting level for Matej Hrnči??Ík: 10,530, level confidence: 35%.
Starting level for Lewis Anderson: 15,737, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Lewis Anderson to win as he is currently playing 49% better than Matej Hrnči??Ík.

Lewis Anderson won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 40% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Lewis Anderson played 45% better than Matej Hrnči??Ík in this match.

In this case, Lewis Anderson played at level 15,263 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Matej Hrnči??Ík is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Lewis Anderson: 86%, Matej Hrnči??Ík: 59%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Lewis Anderson: 84%, Matej Hrnči??Ík: 58%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Matej Hrnči??Ík: 10,514, level confidence: 58%.
Final level for Lewis Anderson: 15,713, level confidence: 84%.