SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Stuart George v Chris Ryder (Sat 21 Sep 2019)

Retired pro result: Chris Ryder[3706]. Match type: European Club League Championship. Last pro match: 2014-11-25 19:00:00. Now: 2019-09-21 19:00:00. Days since: 1761
Match won by Stuart George. Result: 5-11,7-11,11-4,11-5,11-5.

Starting level for Stuart George: 19,560, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for Chris Ryder: 20,556, level confidence: 51%.
Chris Ryder to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Stuart George.

Stuart George won 60% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 25% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Stuart George played 14% better than Chris Ryder in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Stuart George actually played at a level of 21,386 and Chris Ryder at a level of 18,801. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 9.3% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Stuart George changes to +7.6% and Chris Ryder changes to -9.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Stuart George becomes +2.3% and for Chris Ryder becomes -4.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'European Club League Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Stuart George: 78%, Chris Ryder: 71%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Stuart George: 72%, Chris Ryder: 65%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Stuart George: 19,972, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Chris Ryder: 19,630, level confidence: 65%.