SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Cesar Salazar v Faraz Khan (Thu 26 Sep 2019)

Match won by Cesar Salazar. Result: 4-11,11-8,11-5.

Starting level for Cesar Salazar: 41,272, level confidence: 70%.
Starting level for Faraz Khan: 20,505, level confidence: 63%.
Cesar Salazar to win as he is currently playing 101% better than Faraz Khan.

Cesar Salazar won 67% of the games and 52% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 20%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 8% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Cesar Salazar played 14% better than Faraz Khan in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Cesar Salazar was taking it easy by anything up to 13%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 31,551 and 41,272 without affecting his level.

As Cesar Salazar has played below his allowed range at 27,177, his level reduction is 16% before damping. On the assumption that Cesar Salazar would normally have been playing at level 36,086 (based on typical behaviour), Faraz Khan played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 24%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 11.1% and 16% respectively.
As this is a best of 3 match rather than best of 5, these adjustments have been reduced to 8.2% and 12% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Cesar Salazar changes to -7.4% and Faraz Khan changes to +12%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Cesar Salazar becomes -2% and for Faraz Khan becomes +3.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Netsuite Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Cesar Salazar: 84%, Faraz Khan: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Cesar Salazar: 63%, Faraz Khan: 60%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Cesar Salazar: 40,518, level confidence: 63%.
Final level for Faraz Khan: 21,213, level confidence: 60%.