SquashLevels calculations
Jan Van Den Herrewegen v James Peach (Thu 03 Oct 2019)
Match won by Jan Van Den Herrewegen. Result: 11-7,11-9,11-2.
Starting level for
Jan Van Den Herrewegen:
31,762, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for
James Peach:
17,282, level confidence: 61%.
Jan Van Den Herrewegen to win as he is currently playing
84% better than James Peach.
Jan Van Den Herrewegen won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jan Van Den Herrewegen played
83% better than James Peach in this match.
In this case, Jan Van Den Herrewegen played at level 31,684 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, James Peach is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jan Van Den Herrewegen: 78%, James Peach: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jan Van Den Herrewegen: 78%, James Peach: 78%.
Final level for Jan Van Den Herrewegen:
31,762, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for James Peach:
17,282, level confidence: 78%.