SquashLevels calculations
Richie Fallows v Joe Lee (Thu 10 Oct 2019)
Match won by Richie Fallows. Result: 8-11,11-6,11-9,11-7.
Starting level for
Richie Fallows:
30,252, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for
Joe Lee:
24,055, level confidence: 47%.
Richie Fallows to win as he is currently playing
26% better than Joe Lee.
Richie Fallows won 75% of the games and 55% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 24% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Richie Fallows played
25% better than Joe Lee in this match.
In this case, Richie Fallows played at level 30,009 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Joe Lee is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Richie Fallows: 82%, Joe Lee: 69%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Richie Fallows: 81%, Joe Lee: 68%.
A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Richie Fallows:
30,328, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Joe Lee:
24,115, level confidence: 68%.