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Angus Gillams v Mohammad Syafiq Kamal (Mon 14 Oct 2019)

Match won by Angus Gillams. Result: 11-9,13-11,11-6.

Starting level for Angus Gillams: 25,792, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 21,144, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Angus Gillams to win as he is currently playing 22% better than Mohammad Syafiq Kamal.

Angus Gillams won all of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 35% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Angus Gillams played 41% better than Mohammad Syafiq Kamal in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Angus Gillams actually played at a level of 27,763 and Mohammad Syafiq Kamal at a level of 19,643. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 7.6% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Angus Gillams changes to +6.6% and Mohammad Syafiq Kamal changes to -6.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Angus Gillams becomes +2% and for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal becomes -2.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Srfi Indian Tour' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Angus Gillams: 87%, Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Angus Gillams: 81%, Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 80%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Angus Gillams: 26,190, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 20,796, level confidence: 80%.