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Ross Glide v Perry Malik (Thu 24 Oct 2019)

Match won by Perry Malik. Result: 6-11,1-11,4-11.

Starting level for Ross Glide: 4,798, level confidence: 60%.
Starting level for Perry Malik: 15,056, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Perry Malik to win as he is currently playing 214% better than Ross Glide.

Perry Malik won all of the games and 75% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 200% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Perry Malik played 200% better than Ross Glide in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Perry Malik was taking it easy by anything up to 26%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 7,668 and 15,056 without affecting his level.

In this case, Perry Malik played at level 14,394 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Ross Glide is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Perry Malik: 85%, Ross Glide: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Perry Malik: 83%, Ross Glide: 76%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ross Glide: 4,802, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Perry Malik: 15,069, level confidence: 83%.