SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Daryl Selby v Max Lee (Mon 28 Oct 2019)

Match won by Daryl Selby. Result: 11-8,11-9,6-11,11-9.

Starting level for Daryl Selby: 36,151, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Max Lee: 37,819, level confidence: 65%.
Max Lee to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Daryl Selby.

Daryl Selby won 75% of the games and 51% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 5% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Daryl Selby played 19% better than Max Lee in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Daryl Selby actually played at a level of 40,257 and Max Lee at a level of 33,962. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 11% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Daryl Selby changes to +10.1% and Max Lee changes to -11.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Daryl Selby becomes +2.5% and for Max Lee becomes -2.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Egyptian Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Daryl Selby: 85%, Max Lee: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Daryl Selby: 76%, Max Lee: 73%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Daryl Selby: 37,024, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Max Lee: 37,107, level confidence: 73%.