SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Lewis Anderson v Sam Todd (Sun 03 Nov 2019)

Match won by Sam Todd. Result: 4-11,9-11,11-6,3-11.

Starting level for Lewis Anderson: 17,558, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Sam Todd: 22,795, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Sam Todd to win as he is currently playing 30% better than Lewis Anderson.

Sam Todd won 75% of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 44% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Sam Todd played 31% better than Lewis Anderson in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Sam Todd actually played at a level of 22,934 and Lewis Anderson at a level of 17,451. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0.6% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0.5% and 0.5% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Sam Todd changes to +0.4% and Lewis Anderson changes to -0.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Sam Todd becomes +0.2% and for Lewis Anderson becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Dunlop British Junior Championships 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Sam Todd: 87%, Lewis Anderson: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Sam Todd: 87%, Lewis Anderson: 78%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Lewis Anderson: 17,490, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Sam Todd: 22,803, level confidence: 87%.