SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Connor Sheen v Harry Falconer (Tue 05 Nov 2019)

Match won by Connor Sheen. Result: 7-11,11-9,11-2,11-6.

Starting level for Connor Sheen: 19,078, level confidence: 64%.
Starting level for Harry Falconer: 20,167, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Harry Falconer to win as he is currently playing 6% better than Connor Sheen.

Connor Sheen won 75% of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 43% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Connor Sheen played 31% better than Harry Falconer in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Connor Sheen actually played at a level of 22,441 and Harry Falconer at a level of 17,145. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 18% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Connor Sheen changes to +17% and Harry Falconer changes to -15%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Connor Sheen becomes +4.2% and for Harry Falconer becomes -3.7%.

Given Connor Sheen's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 38% has been applied to his level change.

Given Harry Falconer's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 40% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'NW Counties Winter League 2019/20' so the adjustment for Connor Sheen is +2.3% and for Harry Falconer is -2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Connor Sheen: 80%, Harry Falconer: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Connor Sheen: 68%, Harry Falconer: 72%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Connor Sheen: 19,561, level confidence: 68%.
Final level for Harry Falconer: 19,824, level confidence: 72%.