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Jan Van Den Herrewegen v Michael Andrews (Tue 12 Nov 2019)

Match won by Jan Van Den Herrewegen. Result: 11-3,11-7,11-4.

Starting level for Jan Van Den Herrewegen: 33,256, level confidence: 60%.
Starting level for Michael Andrews: 12,745, level confidence: 62%.
Jan Van Den Herrewegen to win as he is currently playing 161% better than Michael Andrews.

Jan Van Den Herrewegen won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 136% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jan Van Den Herrewegen played 136% better than Michael Andrews in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Jan Van Den Herrewegen was taking it easy by anything up to 20%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 20,158 and 33,256 without affecting his level.

In this case, Jan Van Den Herrewegen played at level 30,042 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Michael Andrews is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jan Van Den Herrewegen: 77%, Michael Andrews: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jan Van Den Herrewegen: 73%, Michael Andrews: 75%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jan Van Den Herrewegen: 33,251, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Michael Andrews: 12,743, level confidence: 75%.