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Charles Sharpes v Anthony Rogal (Wed 13 Nov 2019)

Match won by Charles Sharpes. Result: 11-7,11-9,4-11,11-4.

Starting level for Charles Sharpes: 19,829, level confidence: 44%.
Starting level for Anthony Rogal: 15,987, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Charles Sharpes to win as he is currently playing 24% better than Anthony Rogal.

Charles Sharpes won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 19% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Charles Sharpes played 23% better than Anthony Rogal in this match.

In this case, Charles Sharpes played at level 19,686 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Anthony Rogal is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Charles Sharpes: 66%, Anthony Rogal: 95%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Charles Sharpes: 66%, Anthony Rogal: 94%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Charles Sharpes: 19,822, level confidence: 66%.
Final level for Anthony Rogal: 15,981, level confidence: 94%.