SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Tim Vail v Jordan Warne (Wed 13 Nov 2019)

Match won by Tim Vail. Result: 11-7,11-3,11-7.

Starting level for Tim Vail: 21,556, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jordan Warne: 10,708, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Tim Vail to win as he is currently playing 101% better than Jordan Warne.

Tim Vail won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tim Vail played 94% better than Jordan Warne in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Tim Vail was taking it easy by anything up to 13%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 15,933 and 21,556 without affecting his level.

In this case, Tim Vail played at level 20,786 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Jordan Warne is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tim Vail: 94%, Jordan Warne: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tim Vail: 92%, Jordan Warne: 85%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tim Vail: 21,544, level confidence: 92%.
Final level for Jordan Warne: 10,702, level confidence: 85%.