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Perry Malik v Koogan Naidoo (Wed 13 Nov 2019)

Match won by Perry Malik. Result: 11-6,11-4,6-11,11-9.

Starting level for Perry Malik: 15,628, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for Koogan Naidoo: 12,330, level confidence: 10%.
Perry Malik to win as he is currently playing 27% better than Koogan Naidoo.

Perry Malik won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 30% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Perry Malik played 27% better than Koogan Naidoo in this match.

In this case, Perry Malik played at level 15,616 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Koogan Naidoo is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Perry Malik: 81%, Koogan Naidoo: 32%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Perry Malik: 81%, Koogan Naidoo: 32%.

Final level for Perry Malik: 15,628, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Koogan Naidoo: 12,330, level confidence: 32%.