SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Ben Sockett v Andy Whipp (Tue 19 Nov 2019)

Match won by Andy Whipp. Result: 6-11,4-11,5-11.

Starting level for Ben Sockett: 12,941, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Starting level for Andy Whipp: 19,762, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Andy Whipp to win as he is currently playing 53% better than Ben Sockett.

Andy Whipp won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 120% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Andy Whipp played 120% better than Ben Sockett in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Andy Whipp actually played at a level of 23,720 and Ben Sockett at a level of 10,782. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 20% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 16% and 16% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Andy Whipp changes to +16% and Ben Sockett changes to -16%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Andy Whipp becomes +3.9% and for Ben Sockett becomes -4.3%.

Given Andy Whipp's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 39% has been applied to his level change.

Given Ben Sockett's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 25% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'NW Counties Winter League 2019/20' so the adjustment for Andy Whipp is +2.1% and for Ben Sockett is -2.5%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andy Whipp: 91%, Ben Sockett: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andy Whipp: 76%, Ben Sockett: 76%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ben Sockett: 12,611, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Andy Whipp: 20,167, level confidence: 76%.