SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Ben Coleman v Matthew Marshall (Tue 19 Nov 2019)

Match won by Ben Coleman. Result: 11-4,11-5,11-5.

Starting level for Ben Coleman: 31,923, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for Matthew Marshall: 9,320, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Ben Coleman to win as he is currently playing 243% better than Matthew Marshall.

Ben Coleman won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 136% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ben Coleman played 136% better than Matthew Marshall in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Ben Coleman was taking it easy by anything up to 29%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 14,817 and 31,923 without affecting his level.

In this case, Ben Coleman played at level 22,329 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Ben Coleman would normally have been playing at level 22,696 (based on typical behaviour), Matthew Marshall played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 1.6%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 0.9% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ben Coleman changes to 0% and Matthew Marshall changes to +0.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ben Coleman becomes 0% and for Matthew Marshall becomes +0.4%.

Given Matthew Marshall's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 15% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Oxfordshire Mens Winter League 2019' so the adjustment for Ben Coleman is 0% and for Matthew Marshall is 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ben Coleman: 84%, Matthew Marshall: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ben Coleman: 70%, Matthew Marshall: 72%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ben Coleman: 31,875, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Matthew Marshall: 9,331, level confidence: 72%.