SquashLevels calculations
Declan James v Joe Lee (Wed 20 Nov 2019)
Match won by Declan James. Result: 13-11,11-4,11-7.
Starting level for
Declan James:
39,894, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Joe Lee:
24,439, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Declan James to win as he is currently playing
63% better than Joe Lee.
Declan James won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 59% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Declan James played
58% better than Joe Lee in this match.
In this case, Declan James played at level 38,550 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Joe Lee is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Declan James: 87%, Joe Lee: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Declan James: 86%, Joe Lee: 85%.
A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Declan James:
39,919, level confidence: 86%.
Final level for Joe Lee:
24,553, level confidence: 85%.