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James Willstrop v Shahjahan Khan (Sat 23 Nov 2019)

Match won by James Willstrop. Result: 11-4,13-11,11-8.

Starting level for James Willstrop: 48,266, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Shahjahan Khan: 29,897, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
James Willstrop to win as he is currently playing 61% better than Shahjahan Khan.

James Willstrop won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 52% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that James Willstrop played 53% better than Shahjahan Khan in this match.

In this case, James Willstrop played at level 45,774 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Shahjahan Khan is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. James Willstrop: 79%, Shahjahan Khan: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. James Willstrop: 77%, Shahjahan Khan: 87%.

A final adjustment of +0.4% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Willstrop: 48,312, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Shahjahan Khan: 30,082, level confidence: 87%.