SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Harry Falconer v Lewis Anderson (Tue 26 Nov 2019)

Match won by Harry Falconer. Result: 8-11,13-11,6-11,11-3,11-8.

Starting level for Harry Falconer: 19,604, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for Lewis Anderson: 17,639, level confidence: 64%.
Harry Falconer to win as he is currently playing 11% better than Lewis Anderson.

Harry Falconer won 60% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 11% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Harry Falconer played 10% better than Lewis Anderson in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Harry Falconer actually played at a level of 19,533 and Lewis Anderson at a level of 17,703. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0.4% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Harry Falconer changes to 0% and Lewis Anderson changes to +0.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Harry Falconer becomes -0.1% and for Lewis Anderson becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Sutton Coldfield International' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Harry Falconer: 87%, Lewis Anderson: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Harry Falconer: 87%, Lewis Anderson: 80%.

Final level for Harry Falconer: 19,579, level confidence: 87%.
Final level for Lewis Anderson: 17,666, level confidence: 80%.