SquashLevels calculations
James Simpson v Scott Handley (Wed 27 Nov 2019)
Match won by Scott Handley. Result: 14-12,8-11,4-11,4-11.
Starting level for
James Simpson:
9,819, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for
Scott Handley:
13,513, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Scott Handley to win as he is currently playing
38% better than James Simpson.
Scott Handley won 75% of the games and 60% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Scott Handley played
33% better than James Simpson in this match.
In this case, Scott Handley played at level 13,084 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, James Simpson is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Scott Handley: 93%, James Simpson: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Scott Handley: 92%, James Simpson: 82%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for James Simpson:
9,812, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Scott Handley:
13,504, level confidence: 92%.