SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Joelle King v Lewis Anderson (Tue 03 Dec 2019)

Match won by Lewis Anderson. Result: 11-8,11-9,2-11,10-12,11-13.

Starting level for Joelle King: 10,204, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Lewis Anderson: 16,866, level confidence: 65%.
Lewis Anderson to win as he is currently playing 65% better than Joelle King.

Lewis Anderson won 60% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 18% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Lewis Anderson played 12% better than Joelle King in this match.

As Lewis Anderson has played below his allowed range at 12,797, his level reduction is 12% before damping. On the assumption that Lewis Anderson would normally have been playing at level 15,691 (based on typical behaviour), Joelle King played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 17%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 9.2% and 13% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Lewis Anderson changes to -9.2% and Joelle King changes to +11%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Lewis Anderson becomes -2.7% and for Joelle King becomes +3.4%.

Given Lewis Anderson's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 33% has been applied to his level change.

Given Joelle King's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 18% has been applied to her level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'NW Counties Winter League 2019/20' so the adjustment for Lewis Anderson is -1.5% and for Joelle King is +2.2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Lewis Anderson: 80%, Joelle King: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Lewis Anderson: 66%, Joelle King: 72%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Joelle King: 10,408, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Lewis Anderson: 16,591, level confidence: 66%.