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Gregory Gaultier v Ivan Yuen (Fri 29 Nov 2019)

Match won by Gregory Gaultier. Result: 11-8,11-7,11-6.

Starting level for Gregory Gaultier: 58,215, level confidence: 37%.
Starting level for Ivan Yuen: 35,800, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Gregory Gaultier to win as he is currently playing 63% better than Ivan Yuen.

Gregory Gaultier won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Gregory Gaultier played 56% better than Ivan Yuen in this match.

In this case, Gregory Gaultier played at level 56,004 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Ivan Yuen is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Gregory Gaultier: 61%, Ivan Yuen: 91%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Gregory Gaultier: 60%, Ivan Yuen: 89%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Gregory Gaultier: 58,264, level confidence: 60%.
Final level for Ivan Yuen: 35,902, level confidence: 89%.