SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Joe Lee v Cédric Kuchen (Tue 14 Jan 2020)

Match won by Joe Lee. Result: 11-5,11-8,11-8.

Starting level for Joe Lee: 26,392, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for Cédric Kuchen: 20,515, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Joe Lee to win as he is currently playing 29% better than Cédric Kuchen.

Joe Lee won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Joe Lee played 56% better than Cédric Kuchen in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Joe Lee actually played at a level of 29,103 and Cédric Kuchen at a level of 18,604. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 10.3% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 9% and 9% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Joe Lee changes to +9% and Cédric Kuchen changes to -7.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Joe Lee becomes +2.4% and for Cédric Kuchen becomes -2.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Airport Challenger' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Joe Lee: 78%, Cédric Kuchen: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Joe Lee: 71%, Cédric Kuchen: 79%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Joe Lee: 26,856, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Cédric Kuchen: 20,144, level confidence: 79%.