SquashLevels calculations
Ivan Yuen v Moustafa Elsirty (Thu 06 Feb 2020)
Match won by Ivan Yuen. Result: 11-6,11-9,6-11,11-9.
Starting level for
Ivan Yuen:
37,442, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Moustafa Elsirty:
31,010, level confidence: 48%.
Ivan Yuen to win as he is currently playing
21% better than Moustafa Elsirty.
Ivan Yuen won 75% of the games and 53% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 11% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ivan Yuen played
21% better than Moustafa Elsirty in this match.
In this case, Ivan Yuen played at level 37,374 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Moustafa Elsirty is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ivan Yuen: 87%, Moustafa Elsirty: 69%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ivan Yuen: 87%, Moustafa Elsirty: 69%.
A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Ivan Yuen:
37,464, level confidence: 87%.
Final level for Moustafa Elsirty:
31,125, level confidence: 69%.