SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Ivan Yuen v Mazen Gamal (Fri 07 Feb 2020)

Match won by Ivan Yuen. Result: 11-7,11-7,11-8.

Starting level for Ivan Yuen: 37,468, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Starting level for Mazen Gamal: 26,661, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Ivan Yuen to win as he is currently playing 41% better than Mazen Gamal.

Ivan Yuen won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ivan Yuen played 52% better than Mazen Gamal in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Ivan Yuen actually played at a level of 38,922 and Mazen Gamal at a level of 25,665. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 3.9% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 3.3% and 3.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ivan Yuen changes to +2.9% and Mazen Gamal changes to -3.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ivan Yuen becomes +1.1% and for Mazen Gamal becomes -1.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Cns International' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ivan Yuen: 93%, Mazen Gamal: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ivan Yuen: 90%, Mazen Gamal: 85%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ivan Yuen: 37,596, level confidence: 90%.
Final level for Mazen Gamal: 26,564, level confidence: 85%.