SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Tayyab Aslam v Leung Chi Hin Henry (Fri 07 Feb 2020)

Match won by Tayyab Aslam. Result: 12-10,11-3,11-6.

Starting level for Tayyab Aslam: 31,347, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Leung Chi Hin Henry: 26,855, level confidence: 67%.
Tayyab Aslam to win as he is currently playing 17% better than Leung Chi Hin Henry.

Tayyab Aslam won all of the games and 64% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 79% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tayyab Aslam played 79% better than Leung Chi Hin Henry in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Tayyab Aslam actually played at a level of 38,813 and Leung Chi Hin Henry at a level of 21,689. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 24% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tayyab Aslam changes to +19% and Leung Chi Hin Henry changes to -22%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tayyab Aslam becomes +4.1% and for Leung Chi Hin Henry becomes -4.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Cns International' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tayyab Aslam: 88%, Leung Chi Hin Henry: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tayyab Aslam: 71%, Leung Chi Hin Henry: 66%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tayyab Aslam: 32,474, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Leung Chi Hin Henry: 25,840, level confidence: 66%.