SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Lewis Anderson v Miles Jenkins (Mon 24 Feb 2020)

Match won by Lewis Anderson. Result: 16-18,12-10,11-8,11-9.

Starting level for Lewis Anderson: 18,439, level confidence: 83%. Set manually.
Starting level for Miles Jenkins: 22,993, level confidence: 63%.
Miles Jenkins to win as he is currently playing 25% better than Lewis Anderson.

Lewis Anderson won 75% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 11% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Lewis Anderson played 20% better than Miles Jenkins in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Lewis Anderson actually played at a level of 22,595 and Miles Jenkins at a level of 18,764. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 23% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 20% and 20% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Lewis Anderson changes to +15% and Miles Jenkins changes to -20%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Lewis Anderson becomes +3.9% and for Miles Jenkins becomes -4.6%.

Given Lewis Anderson's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 36% has been applied to his level change.

Given Miles Jenkins's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 44% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Warwickshire Winter League 2019/20' so the adjustment for Lewis Anderson is +2.1% and for Miles Jenkins is -2.3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Lewis Anderson: 91%, Miles Jenkins: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Lewis Anderson: 74%, Miles Jenkins: 65%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Lewis Anderson: 18,802, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Miles Jenkins: 22,434, level confidence: 65%.